A funny thing happens in real estate. When it comes back, it comes back up like gangbusters.
~Barbara Corcoran
The
real estate market has turned around in some parts of the U.S., but
many buyers aren't seeing true bargains anymore. Investors are driving
up prices, and inventory is low, especially for homes priced under
$250,000. That's not great news for anyone hoping to buy an affordable
house to live in.
Arizona is home to one of the nation's
extraordinary turnarounds. The Phoenix-area median home price rose 20
percent over the past year — 6 percent in March alone. And Tucson was
recently named the nation's best market for investors. But the easy
money has already been made.
Tucson firefighter Keith Cubberley
buys distressed property in his spare time. The brick house he bought
recently in an older middle-class neighborhood was trashed. "It was
dirty and people hadn't done anything to take care of the property for
the last 40 years," he says.
So Cubberley gutted it, and now he
has workers fixing it up. When he's done, he'll resell the house. But
buying low-end real estate like this, he says, is getting harder.
When
an investor is buying, they will very often offer cash and waive the
appraisal contingency, and that is very attractive to a seller because
they know the deal is almost certain to go through.
"Anything $100,000 and under ... [is] selling very quickly," he says.
Inventory Down, Prices Up
Tucson
real estate agent Steve Marshall, who specializes in finding homes for
investors, says a lot of homes that would have sat on the market a
couple of years ago are now getting multiple offers.
"They're
starting to list their properties higher than what they used to,"
Marshall says. "Property that would've listed for $20- to $30,000 is now
listing for $50- to $60,000."
About a quarter of all home sales
in Phoenix and Tucson are to investors — people looking to fix and flip
or fix and rent, or people looking for a second home.
Mike Orr, a
real-estate researcher at Arizona State University, says a lot of people
are still looking for bargains, but the deals are harder to find. He
says prices are up because inventory is down — there are fewer homes on
the market. There are also fewer foreclosures — about 60 percent fewer
than last year in the Phoenix area.
"Although we still have a flow
of foreclosures taking place, it's dramatically down from the worst
situation, which was kind of 2008 through 2010," Orr says.
Homes
worth more than $250,000 are moving up in value, too, but more slowly.
Rising prices are good news for Arizona homeowners who saw their
property plummet in value since 2008, but Orr says the investor frenzy
on the market's low end is bad news for people who just want to buy an
affordable home and live in it.
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